沿海港口与内陆腹地城市间铁路通道配流优化研究  

A Study on the Optimized Railway Flow Allocation Plan between Coastal Ports and Inland Cities

作　　者：唐俊 尹传忠[1] 武中凯 TANG Jun;YIN Chuan-zhong;WU Zhong-kai(College of Transport ＆ Communications, Shanghai Maritime University, Shanghai 201306, China;Operation and Development Division, China Railway Harbin Group Co., Ltd., Harbin 150006, Heilongjiang, China)

机构地区：[1]上海海事大学交通运输学院,上海201306 [2]中国铁路哈尔滨局集团有限公司经营开发处,黑龙江哈尔滨150006

出　　处：《铁道运输与经济》2018年第6期12-17,共6页Railway Transport and Economy

基　　金：中国铁路总公司科技研究开发计划课题(2017X009-J)

摘　　要：为合理分配路网运能,保证港口和内陆腹地间铁路通道顺畅,以上海—西安段铁路运输为研究对象,研究沿海港口和内陆腹地城市间的铁路运输配流问题。基于2005—2015年的运量数据,运用指数平滑法对上海—西安运量进行预测,分析上海—西安铁路运量的发展趋势。结合西安铁路枢纽,以及上海—西安铁路运输网络现状,运用Dial算法对上海—西安运输通道进行合理配流,得出不考虑线路拥堵等问题的配流方式,以平衡运输网络流量,并给出不同线路列车开行数量,可以为港口和腹地城市间多式联运组织提供借鉴。In order to keep the railway network between sea ports and inland areas fully connected through the proper allocation of the railway transport capacity, this paper studies the freight flow allocation by taking the Shanghai-Xi＇an Railway as its research object. Based on the previous freight data for 2005—2015, this paper firstly analyzes the predicted freight volumes of Shanghai-Xi＇an Railway in the future calculated with the exponential smoothing method. Then, based on the real conditions of the Xi＇an Railway Hub and the Shanghai-Xi＇an Railway and with the purpose of balancing the freight volumes assigned inside the railway network, this paper proposes a freight volume allocation plan without taking congestion into account, which includes suggestions on the numbers of the trains operating on different railway lines by using the method of Dial Algorithm, as the reference point for multimodal transport organization between ports and inland cities.

关 键 词：铁路运输 配流 DIAL算法 多式联运 

分 类 号：U292.53[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]