棚户区改造对周边住房价格的溢出效应——基于北京市海淀区的实证分析  

The Spillover Effects of Urban Renewal Projects on Local Housing Prices:Empirical Evidences Based on Shanty Town Reconstruction in Beijing

作　　者：王优容 王自义 易成栋[1] 王昊[1] 高然 WANG Yourong;WANG Ziyi;YI Chengdong;WANG Hao;GAO Ran

机构地区：[1]中央财经大学管理科学与工程学院,北京100081

出　　处：《城市发展研究》2020年第12期106-113,131,共9页Urban Development Studies

基　　金：中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助(QL18011);中央财经大学标志性科研成果培育项目;中央财经大学研究生科研创新基金。

摘　　要：以北京市海淀区棚户区改造项目为研究对象,分析棚户区改造对周边住房价格的溢出效应并探索其作用机制。结果显示:棚户区改造对1km以内的住房价格存在正的溢出效应和负的阶段效应;机制探究显示,棚户区的搬迁和重建改善周边居住环境从而提高周边住房价格,同时,增加不确定性和带来新的市场供给从而降低周边住房价格;分位数回归显示棚户区改造对周边住房价格的溢出效应存在显著的市场分化。最后,从棚户区改造项目选择、进度管理和改造方式上对完善城市更新政策提出了相应的启示。Taking the STR projects in Haidian District,Beijing as the research object,this article explores the spillover effect on the surrounding housing prices and its underlying mechanisms.The results show that:the STR has a positive spillover effect as well as a negative stage-effect on housing prices;On one hand,the STR drives up the surrounding housing price by improving the surrounding living environment,on the other,it reduces the surrounding housing price because of the uncertainty and new housing supply induced;The quantile regression shows that the spillover effect of STR varies significantly across submarkets by the housing price.This research has important implications for further improvement of the STR policies.

关 键 词：棚户区改造 住房价格 溢出效应 分位数回归 

分 类 号：TU984.114[建筑科学—城市规划与设计]