信号分析视域下决策失误风险地图构建  

Construction of Risk Map of Decision Failure from the Perspective of Signal Analysis

作　　者：胡雅萍[1] 王秋云 张家年[3] Hu Yaping;Wang Qiuyun;Zhang Jianian(Population Research Institute, High-Quality Development Evaluation Institute, Nanjing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Nanjing 210042;School of Management,Nanjing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Nanjing 210042;Anhui Big-Data Research Center on University Management of Huaibei Normal University, Huaibei 235000)

机构地区：[1]南京邮电大学人口研究院、高质量发展评价研究院,南京210042 [2]南京邮电大学管理学院,南京210042 [3]淮北师范大学安徽省高校管理大数据研究中心,淮北235000

出　　处：《情报杂志》2022年第7期19-24,56,共7页Journal of Intelligence

基　　金：国家社会科学基金一般项目“新时代科技安全情报理论构建与运作模式研究”(编号:19BTQ089)。

摘　　要：[研究目的]应对风险的第一道防线在于发现风险信号,构建决策失误风险地图有利于感知潜在的决策失误风险与威胁。[研究方法]按照信号分析的步骤,以扎根理论方法为指导,对以决策失误为主题的硕博士论文进行案例抽取,通过开放式编码、主轴编码及选择编码对失败案例中的风险要素进行归纳提取,分析各主范畴对引发决策失误的风险的内在关联与影响路径。[研究结论]决策失误风险信号主要分布于情境、人因、流程、信息四个维度。[Research purpose]The first line of defense against risks is to discover risk signals.Building a risk map of decision failure will help perceive the potential risks and threats.[Research method]According to the steps of signal analysis,guided by grounded theoretical methods,this research extracts the cases from master and doctoral dissertations on the subject of decision failure,through open coding,main axis coding,and selective coding,the risk map of decision failure was summarized and relationships were sorted out.[Research conclusion]The study finds that risks of failure in the decision include Context,Human Factors,Process and Information.

关 键 词：决策失误 决策风险 扎根理论 风险地图 信号分析 

分 类 号：G252[文化科学—图书馆学]