基于组合方法下的连云港市物流预测研究  

Research on Logistics Prediction of Lianyungang City Based on Combination Method

作　　者：徐烨昕 陆芬 XU Yexin;LU Fen(Evergrande School of Management,Wuhan University of Science and Technology,Wuhan 430070,China)

机构地区：[1]武汉科技大学恒大管理学院,湖北武汉430070

出　　处：《物流科技》2022年第15期101-105,共5页Logistics Sci-Tech

基　　金：湖北省教育厅科学技术研究计划项目(B2020005)。

摘　　要：连云港港口,是中国沿海25个主要港口之一。随着“一带一路”倡议的提出连云港想要支撑起更多更复杂的货运及货物中转的重任,需要为未来的迅猛发展做出充足的应对和准备。通过综合预测法对连云港沿海港口货物吞吐量的潜力进行预测研究,进一步开发连云港的发展潜力,同时对预测结果进行分析研究,可以为连云港近期以及长期的更好发展给出理论以及数据上的参考。Lianyungang port is one of the 25 major ports along the coast of China. With the proposal of one belt, one road initiative, Lianyungang wants to support more complex freight and cargo transfer tasks, and it needs to make adequate response and preparation for the future rapid development. Through the comprehensive prediction method to predict the potential of cargo throughput of Lianyungang coastal port, further develop the development potential of Lianyungang, and analyze and study the prediction results, which can provide theoretical and data reference for the better development of Lianyungang in the near and long term.

关 键 词：物流预测 指数平滑 线性回归 一带一路 

分 类 号：F272[经济管理—企业管理]