应用R软件的ARIMA模型教学案例设计  

Application of R Software in ARIMA Model Teaching Case Design

作　　者：马霞 张晋珠[2] 李灿 郭尊光 MA Xia;ZHANG Jinzhu;LI Can;GUO Zunguang(Department of Science,Taiyuan Institute of Technology,Taiyuan,China,030008;Department of Economics and Management,Taiyuan Institute of Technology,Taiyuan,China,030008)

机构地区：[1]太原工业学院理学系,太原030008 [2]太原工业学院经管系,太原030008

出　　处：《福建电脑》2022年第11期113-117,共5页Journal of Fujian Computer

基　　金：山西省科技厅应用基础研究面上项目《具有非局部时滞的传染病模型斑图动力学研究》(No.2019—201901D11322);太原工业学院后备学科带头人(No.2018008)的资助。

摘　　要：为了培养学生学习随机过程的兴趣,本文提出了采用教学案例设计的方法把ARIMA模型知识点和实际传染病数据联系在一起,借助统计专业的R软件,应用可视化的实验结果对案例进行分析,加深学生对知识的理解,进而提高学生的解决问题的实操能力。实践表明,采用教学案例设计的方法进行教学能够满足学生学习随机过程课程的需要。In order to cultivate students’ interest of learning random process, the method of teaching case design is proposed to link the knowledge points of ARIMA model with the actual the infectious diseases data. With the aid of statistical R software, the case is explained by visual experiments results, so as to explain and deepen students’ understanding of knowledge, and improve the students’ practical ability of solving the problem. The method of teaching case design can meet the needs of students to learn the course of stochastic process.

关 键 词：随机过程 ARIMA模型 R软件 案例设计 

分 类 号：G624.0[文化科学—教育学]