突发需求扰动下供应链健壮性分析  

Analysis of Supply Chain Robustness in Face of Sudden Demand Disturbance

作　　者：魏琪 贺国先[1] 马晓理 WEI Qi;HE Guoxian;MA Xiaoli(School of Transportation,Lanzhou Jiaotong University,Lanzhou 730000,China)

机构地区：[1]兰州交通大学交通运输学院,甘肃兰州730000

出　　处：《物流技术》2022年第11期97-104,共8页Logistics Technology

摘　　要：为了研究突发需求扰动与供应链健壮性之间的关系,在以往定性研究的基础上,提出一种定量与定性相结合的量化分析方法来衡量供应链的健壮性。通过分阶段分析供应链中物流企业和物流环节的健壮性指标,建立了分析供应链健壮性的数学模型,推断了供应链的整体健壮性指标,并对其进行了数值仿真分析。该模型可以较好地表示出需求扰动与供应链健壮性之间的关系。In this paper,in order to study the relationship between sudden demand disturbance and supply chain robustness,on the basis of previous qualitative research,we proposed a process combining qualitative analysis with quantitative study to measure the robustness of the supply chain.Next,by analyzing the robustness indicators of the logistics enterprises and the supply chain by stage,we established a mathematical model for analyzing the robustness of the supply chain,derived the indicators of overall supply chain robustness,and through a numerical simulation analysis,showed that this model could depict the relationship between demand disturbance and supply chain robustness.

关 键 词：需求扰动 供应链 健壮性 指标设计 

分 类 号：F274[经济管理—企业管理]