位移抑或协同:中职、高职教育对经济增长贡献的实证研究——基于C-D函数与门槛模型的检验  

Displacement or Synergy: An Empirical Study on the Contribution of Secondary and Higher Vocational Education to Economic Growth——Test Based on C-D Function and Threshold Model

作　　者：蔡文伯[1] 黄卢涛 Cai Wenbo;Huang Lutao(Teachers'College of Shihezi University,Shihezi 832003)

机构地区：[1]石河子大学师范学院,石河子832003

出　　处：《职业技术教育》2022年第28期24-30,共7页Vocational and Technical Education

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目“新疆乡村教育现代化高质量发展的动态监测与预警机制”(72264033),主持人:蔡文伯。

摘　　要：作为教育体系的重要组成部分,职业教育对经济建设发挥着不可忽视的作用。利用C-D生产函数,构建职业教育对经济增长贡献率的测算模型,探究2010-2019年我国职业教育对经济增长的贡献。结果表明:中职、高职教育对经济增长贡献程度差异显著,中职教育贡献作用相对较低,高职教育贡献作用更为显著。继而采用门槛模型探究其中门槛效应发现,中职、高职教育对经济增长均存在人均GDP的门槛效应。当人均GDP较低时,中职、高职教育对经济增长是负向作用,在跨过门槛值后,作用由负转正,且随着人均GDP的提高,正向作用随之增强。因此,各地区应注意经济转型时期产业结构变迁的技术人才需求特征,提升中职与高职教育发展的协同性、适配性和多样性,避免办学定位、功能结构和人岗匹配的位移,以适应职业教育高质量转型发展的要求。As an important part of education system, vocational education plays an important role in economic construction. Based on the C-D production function, a calculation model of the contribution rate of vocational education to economic growth was constructed to explore the contribution of vocational education to economic growth in China from 2010 to 2019. The results show that the contribution of secondary vocational education and higher vocational education to economic growth is significantly different, the contribution of secondary vocational education is relatively low, and the contribution of higher vocational education is more significant. Then the threshold model is used to explore the threshold effect, and it is found that there is a threshold effect on per capita GDP in both secondary and higher vocational education on economic growth. When per capita GDP is low, secondary and higher vocational education has a negative effect on economic growth. After crossing the threshold level, the effect changes from negative to positive, and the positive effect increases with the increase of per capita GDP. Therefore, all regions should pay attention to the demand characteristics of technical talents in the change of industrial structure in the period of economic transformation, improve the synergy, adaptability and diversity of the development of secondary and higher vocational education, and avoid the displacement of school-running orientation, functional structure and person post matching, so as to meet the requirements of high-quality development of vocational education.

关 键 词：中职教育 高职教育 经济增长 C-D函数 门槛模型 

分 类 号：G719.2[文化科学—职业技术教育学]