房价、住房空置率与区域技术创新  

Housing Price,Housing Vacancy Rate and Regional Technological Innovation

作　　者：熊美懿 马怀礼[2] 潘欣[3] XIONG Meiyi;MA Huaili;PAN Xin(Department of Economics,Jianghuai College,Anhui University,Hefei 230031,China;School of Economics,Anhui University,Hefei 230601,China;Department of Public Basic Teaching,Jianghuai College,Anhui University,Hefei 230031,China)

机构地区：[1]安徽大学江淮学院经济系,安徽合肥230031 [2]安徽大学经济学院,安徽合肥230601 [3]安徽大学江淮学院公共基础教学部,安徽合肥230031

出　　处：《宿州学院学报》2023年第3期55-62,共8页Journal of Suzhou University

基　　金：安徽省人文社科重点项目(SK2020A0968);安徽省教育厅高校协同创新项目(GXXT-2021-091);安徽大学江淮学院人文社科重点项目(2021SK0001)。

摘　　要：基于2008—2019年30个省份的面板数据,在考虑区域技术创新与房价均存在空间效应基础上,建立空间误差模型实证检验房价上涨对我国区域技术创新的影响,并运用面板门槛回归模型进一步分析在不同住房空置水平下,房价与区域技术创新的关系。结果表明:第一,区域技术创新对区域房价存在显著正向的溢出效应,且逐年增强;第二,房价对区域技术创新的影响呈现倒U型库兹涅茨曲线关系,北京、上海两地房价已超过拐点值;第三,这种影响存在区域异质性,中部地区技术创新对高房价的容忍度远低于全国和东部;第四,房价对区域技术创新的影响存在门槛效应:在住房空置率较低地区,房价上涨有利于推动技术创新,反之则拖累技术创新。Based on the panel data of 30 provinces from 2008 to 2019,and considering the spatial effects of both regional technological innovation and housing prices,a spatial error model was established to empirically test the impact of rising house prices on regional technological innovation in China,and a panel threshold regression model was used to further analyze the relationship between house prices and regional technological innovation under different levels of housing vacancy.The results show that:first,there is a significant positive spatial spillover effect of regio-nal technological innovation,and it is increasing year by year;second,the impact of house prices on regional technological innovation shows an inverted U-shaped Kuznets curve relationship,and the housing prices in Beijing and Shanghai have exceeded the inflection point value;third,this effect is regionally heterogeneous,and the tolerance of technological innovation to high house prices in the central region is much lower than that in the nation as a whole and that in the east;fourth,there is a threshold effect of housing prices on regional technological innovation:in regions with low housing vacancy rates,rising house prices are conducive to promoting technological innovation,and vice versa.

关 键 词：房价 住房空置率 空间计量 面板门槛模型 

分 类 号：F061.5[经济管理—政治经济学]