湖北省绿茶气候品质综合指数模型研究  

Study on climatological quality evaluation model with comprehensive indexes for green tea in Hubei Province

作　　者：邓环环[1,2,3] 秦鹏程 万素琴[1,2,3] 邓爱娟 汤阳[1,2,3] DENG Huan-huan;QIN Peng-cheng;WAN Su-qin;DENG Ai-juan;TANG Yang(Wuhan Regional Climate Center,Wuhan 430074,China;Three Gorges National Climatological Observatory,Yichang 443002,Hubei,China;Key Laboratory of Basin Heavy Rainfall,CMA,Wuhan 430205,China)

机构地区：[1]武汉区域气候中心,武汉430074 [2]三峡国家气候观象台,湖北宜昌443002 [3]中国气象局流域强降水重点开放实验室,武汉430205

出　　处：《湖北农业科学》2023年第6期46-50,62,共6页Hubei Agricultural Sciences

基　　金：湖北省科技基金项目(2019Y05)。

摘　　要：利用湖北省典型茶区2018—2020年绿茶不同开采期品质数据及开采前15 d气象观测数据,首先通过决策树和随机森林等机器学习方法分析了影响绿茶品质的关键气象因子及其响应关系,然后基于模糊数学理论,构建了气温、日照时数、风速和相对湿度单因子隶属函数模型,并采用综合加权得到绿茶气候品质综合指数模型,最后基于遗传算法对模型参数进行优化求解,并确定了等级评价标准。结果表明,符合实际等级的样本占样本总数的67.2%,相差一个等级的样本占样本总数的32.8%,说明绿茶气候品质综合指数模型能够反映不同气候条件下绿茶品质的差异。Quality analysis data of green tea within different green tea-plucking periods and observation data of meteorological ele⁃ments at 15 days before spring tea-plucking in typical tea-producing regions of Hubei Province from 2018 to 2020 was used.Firstly,the key meteorological elements affecting green tea quality and its response relationship were analyzed by using machine learning meth⁃ods including decision tree and random forest model.Secondly,the single-factor subordinate function model for temperature,sun⁃shine,wind speed and relative humidity was built based on fuzzy mathematics theory.In the meanwhile,a comprehensive index model for climatological quality of green tea was built by using the comprehensive weighted method.Finally,parameters in this model were optimized based on the genetic algorithm.Additionally,grade evaluation standard was also determined.The results showed that the number of samples corresponding and existing one grade difference to the actual grade of samples accounted for 67.2%and 32.8%of the total samples,respectively.The results indicated that this model for green tea could reflect its quality difference under different cli⁃mate situations.

关 键 词：绿茶 气候品质 评价模型 机器学习 湖北省 

分 类 号：S571.1[农业科学—茶叶生产加工]