中国食源性疾病省际时空差异与成因研究  

Inter-provincial spatiotemporal differences and causes of foodborne diseases in China

作　　者：曾梦晴 张壮 陈有华[1,3] ZENG Mengqing;ZHANG Zhuang;CHEN Youhua(Collage of Economics and Management,South China Agricultural University,Guangzhou,Guangdong 510642,China;School of Business Administration,Zhongnan University of Economics and Law,Wuhan,Hubei 430073,China;Agricultural Green Development Research Center,South China Agricultural University,Guangzhou,Guangdong 510642,China)

机构地区：[1]华南农业大学经济管理学院,广东广州510642 [2]中南财经政法大学工商管理学院,湖北武汉430073 [3]华南农业大学农业绿色发展研究中心,广东广州510642

出　　处：《美食研究》2023年第4期28-36,共9页Journal of Researches on Dietetic Science and Culture

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目(20&ZD117)。

摘　　要：为把握食源性疾病的演化规律,达到指导未来食品安全的目的,采用《中国卫生统计年鉴》《中国卫生健康统计年鉴》《中国统计年鉴》等省级维度的宏观数据,利用Stata 16软件,使用空间自相关等方法揭示2011—2019年中国食源性疾病的省际时空差异,并采用双向固定效应模型识别影响食源性疾病时空差异的影响因素。研究结果表明:食源性疾病具有明显的周期性、季节性与场所聚集性,并从2014年开始呈现出明显的空间负相关;经济增长、食品监管强度与食源性疾病具有明显的倒“U”型关系;此外,提高平均受教育年限有利于抑制食源性疾病的发生。In order to grasp the evolution of foodborne diseases and guide food safety in the future,macro-data at the provincial level such as China Health Statistics Yearbook,China Health and Health Statistics Yearbook and China Statistical Yearbook,Stata 16 software,methods such as spatial autocorrelation were used to reveal the inter-provincial spatiotemporal differences of foodborne diseases in China from 2011 to 2019,and the bidirectional fixed-effect model was used to identify the factors.The results showed that the foodborne diseases had obvious periodicity,seasonality and site clustering,and showed an obvious spatial negative correlation after 2014;the relationship between economic growth,food supervision intensity and foodborne diseases was inverted U-shaped;and increasing the average years of schooling would help curb the incidence of foodborne diseases.

关 键 词：食源性疾病 时空差异 自然环境因素 经济社会因素 

分 类 号：TS971[轻工技术与工程]