四川省城市应急物流韧性评估  

Assessment of Urban Emergency Logistics Resilience in Sichuan Province

作　　者：皈榜学 徐雯静 郗蒙浩 GUI Bangxue;XU Wenjing;XI Menghao(School of Emergence Management,Institute of Disaster Prevention,Sanhe 065201,China;Hebei Key Laboratory of Resource and Environmental Disaster Mechanism and Risk Monitoring,Institute of Disaster Prevention,Sanhe 065201,China)

机构地区：[1]防灾科技学院应急管理学院,河北三河065201 [2]防灾科技学院河北省资源环境灾变机理及风险监控重点实验室,河北三河065201

出　　处：《防灾科技学院学报》2024年第4期70-84,共15页Journal of Institute of Disaster Prevention

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(72174019)。

摘　　要：在研究应急物流韧性理论的基础上,结合物流实际状况与应急物流韧性特点,从物流经济、物流基础、人才创新环境和社会韧性4个维度构建应急物流韧性评价指标体系。通过因子分析法和K-均值聚类法,对四川省城市应急物流韧性进行量化评价。结果表明:2018-2022年四川省城市应急物流韧性评估得分整体呈现波动式缓慢提升的趋势;成都市得分最高,可达0.756分,而甘孜州最低,为0.047分;地区分布具有明显差异性和提升空间,据此提出了提升该地区应急物流韧性的相关建议。Based on the theoretical framework of emergency logistics resilience,combined with actual development status and resilience characteristics of emergency logistics,we established an evaluation index system for regional emergency logistics resilience from four dimensions,such as logistics economy,logistics infrastructure,talent innovation environment,and social resilience.Then,the emergency logistics resilience in this region is quantitatively assessed by the factor analysis method and the K-means clustering method.As the results show,the evaluation scores of urban emergency logistics resilience show a slow and fluctuating upward trend in Sichuan Province from 2018 to 2022.The evaluation score in Chengdu is highest(0.756),and that of Ganzi Tibetan Autonomous Prefecture is lowest(0.047).In addition,the regional distribution of emergency logistics resilience exhibits significant differences and the emergency logistics resilience in Sichuan Province has potential for improvement.On the basis of it,the corresponding suggestion for enhancing the emergency logistics resilience in Sichuan Province is proposed.

关 键 词：韧性 应急物流 因子分析法 K-均值聚类 

分 类 号：X43[环境科学与工程—灾害防治] F252[经济管理—国民经济]