山西省中等职业教育资源配置优化研究——基于人口变动视角  

Study on Optimization of Secondary Vocational Education Resource Allocation in Shanxi Province——Based on the Perspective of Population Change

作　　者：刘嘉琪 王艺颖 韩永强[1] Liu Jiaqi;Wang Yiying;Han Yongqiang(School of Continuing Education,Shanxi University,Taiyuan 030006,China)

机构地区：[1]山西大学继续教育学院,山西太原030006

出　　处：《继续教育研究》2025年第3期33-39,共7页Continuing Education Research

基　　金：2023年度山西省青少年发展研究课题“基于人口变动视角下山西省优化配置青少年职业教育资源研究”(编号:JT2023E24);2021年度教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目“中国特色学徒制制度设计及实践模式研究”(编号:21YJA880017)。

摘　　要：中等职业教育资源配置应与人口变动趋势相协调。为提高资源配置效率,山西省需充分结合人口变动情况优化中等职业教育资源配置。以2005—2023年山西省出生人口为基础数据展开预测发现,2024—2033年山西省中等职业教育阶段预期学龄人口与现行在校生规模大体相当,2034—2038年则呈现持续下降趋势,在人口流失现象逐渐得到控制的背景下,都市区集聚与区域流失现象仍将持续。从时间的纵向变化和要素的横向构成分析来看,当前山西省中等职业教育资源现行供给存在经费动态增长乏力和质量与分布问题集中等问题。基于此,提出山西省中等职业教育资源配置的具体方案,并应坚持以高质量发展为理念引领、推动实现教育均衡与公平、人才链与产业链深度融合的路径走向。The allocation of resources for secondary vocational education should be coordinated with the trend of population change.In order to improve the efficiency of resource allocation,Shanxi Province needs to optimize the allocation of secondary vocational education resources based on population changes.Based on the birth population data of Shanxi Province from 2005 to 2023,it is found that the expected school-age population in the secondary vocational education stage of Shanxi Province from 2024 to 2033 is roughly the same as that of the current school students and it will show a continuous decline from 2034 to 2038.Under the background that the population loss phenomenon is gradually controlled,the phenomenon of urban agglomeration and regional loss will continue.From the analysis of the vertical change in time and the horizontal composition of factors,the current supply of secondary vocational education resources in Shanxi Province is characterized by the lack of dynamic growth in funding and the concentration of quality and distribution problems.Based on this,the paper puts forward a specific plan for the allocation of secondary vocational education resources in Shanxi Province and should adhere to the concept of high-quality development,promote the realization of education balance and fairness and the deep integration of talent chain and industrial chain.

关 键 词：山西省 中等职业教育 资源配置 人口变动 

分 类 号：G718[文化科学—职业技术教育学]