普职结构与区域经济发展的耦合协调测度——基于2010-2020年省级面板数据的实证分析  

Coupling and Coordination Measurement of General and Vocational Education Structure and Regional Economic Development——Empirical Analysis Based on Provincial Panel Data from 2010-2020

作　　者：刘燕丽 姚继军[2] Liu Yanli;Yao Jijun(College of Education of Zhejiang University,Hangzhou 310058;College of Educational science of Nanjing Normal University,Nanjing 210024)

机构地区：[1]浙江大学教育学院,杭州310058 [2]南京师范大学教育科学学院,南京210024

出　　处：《职业技术教育》2025年第9期57-66,共10页Vocational and Technical Education

基　　金：2022年度江苏省教育科学规划战略性与政策性重大课题“新形势下教育教学秩序和质量标准重塑研究”(A/2022/b5),主持人:姚继军。

摘　　要：普职协调发展是推进中国式教育现代化的重要议题,对于优化人才培养结构具有重要意义。通过构建普职结构与经济高质量发展(S-E)耦合协调模型,定量分析2010-2020年我国各省S-E耦合协调度的发展变化,以及二者的同步发展状态,并通过俱乐部收敛对其收敛性进行检验。研究发现:考察期内,我国四大区域的S-E耦合协调度均呈上升趋势,整体呈现中级协调状态,但时间阶段性与地区异质性特征明显;2020年,超过74%的省份普职结构相对超前;同时,测算结果表明S-E耦合协调度呈现局部俱乐部收敛特征。鉴于此,在“十四五”期间及以后,应不断优化普职结构,提高其与经济高质量发展的耦合协调度。The coordinated development of general and vocational education is an important issue in promoting the modernization of Chinese-style education and has great significance for optimizing the talent training structure.By constructing a coupling and coordination degree model between the structure of general and vocational education and high-quality economic development(S-E),this paper quantitatively analyzes the development and changes of the coupling and coordination degree of each province from 2010 to 2020,as well as the synchronized development state of the two systems.Furthermore,the convergence of the coupling and coordination degree between the two systems is tested through club convergence.The results show that during the period studied,the coupling and coordination degree between the structure of general and vocational education and high-quality economic development in China has shown a rising trend,with an overall medium coordination level,but with significant time-stage and regional heterogeneity characteristics.In 2020,more than 74%of the provinces had a relatively advanced structure of general and vocational education.Meanwhile,the results indicate that the S-E coupling and coordination degree exhibits characteristics of local club convergence.Therefore,during the 14th Five-Year Plan period,we should continually optimize the structure of general and vocational education in order to enhance its coupling and coordination degree with highquality economic development.

关 键 词：普职结构 普职协调发展 区域经济发展 高质量发展 耦合协调度 俱乐部收敛 

分 类 号：G719.2[文化科学—职业技术教育学]