负荷预测在大同地区的应用  

Application of Load-Forecasting in Datong Power Network

作　　者：张金晔 常尼亚 郭建宏 

机构地区：[1]大同供电分公司,山西大同037003 [2]长治供电分公司,山西长治046400

出　　处：《山西电力》2004年第2期64-65,70,共3页Shanxi Electric Power

摘　　要：介绍了负荷预测的发展、分类、算法、模型等,并着重介绍了大同地区短期负荷预测的算法、特点以及主要功能,总结了大同地区短期负荷预测应用过程中影响预测结果的因素。In the wake of electric power system reform, the electric power demand forecasting seems more significant. The original one is simply introduced load-forecasting development, classification,algorithm and pattern and so on,and emphatically introduced calculation algorithm, distinguishing feature and main functions of short-term load-forecasting in Datong,summed up the element that effecting the forecasting result in application process.

关 键 词：负荷预测 电力弹性系数法 电力系统 电网 神经网络 数学模型 大同地区 

分 类 号：TM715[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]