jointly supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.U1811464);the Hydraulic Innovation Project of Science and Technology of Guangdong Province of China(Grant No.2022-01);the Guangzhou Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation(Grant No.202201011472)。
Due to various technical issues,existing numerical weather prediction(NWP)models often perform poorly at forecasting rainfall in the first several hours.To correct the bias of an NWP model and improve the accuracy of ...
the two anonymous reviewers.This work is supported by the National Key R&D Program of China(2018YFC1506803,2019YFB2102901);National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant 41705135,41790474).
The partial cycle(PC)strategy has been used in many rapid refresh cycle systems(RRC)for regional short-range weather forecasting.Since the strategy periodically reinitializes the regional model(RM)from the global mode...
jointly sponsored by the National Key Research and Development Program of China (Grant No. 2018YFC1506402);the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 41930971, 41575061 and 41775061)
The present study uses the nonlinear singular vector(NFSV)approach to identify the optimally-growing tendency perturbations of the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF)model for tropical cyclone(TC)intensity forecasts...
supported by the National Key R&D Program on Monitoring, Early Warning and Prevention of Major Natural Disaster (2017YFC1502103);the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 41305099 and 41305053)
To investigate the impact of soil moisture uncertainty on summertime short-range ensemble forecasts(SREFs), a fivemember SREF experiment with perturbed initial soil moisture(ISM) was performed over a northern Chin...
supported by a project of the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 40875079)
In this study, the Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences - regional ensemble forecast system (IAP-REFS) described in Part I was further validated through a 65-day experiment using the summer ...
A back-propagation neural network (BPNN) was used to establish relationships between the shortrange (0-3-h) rainfall and the predictors ranging from extrapolative forecasts of radar reflectivity, satelliteestimate...
This work was supported by the" National Key Project Studies on Short-Range Climate PredictionSystem in China" (96-908-04-02).
The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) time series is analyzed by means of the singular spectrum analysis (SSA) method with 60-month window length. Two major oscillatory pairs are found in the series whose periods are q...
This work is supported by both NKPFR and NNSF of China.
By analyzing the Fractal Dimension(FD) distribution of the Short-range Climate system(SCS) in China, it is found that the FD varies in different region and this just agrees with the regionally of the monsoon climate ...
This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation, Chinese Academy of Sciences, the Key Projects of National Foundamental Researches and LASG.
With the high-speed development of numerical weather prediction, since the later 1980's, the prediction of short-range climate anomalies has attracted worldwide meteorologists' attention . What the so called short-ran...