路内停车对非机动车交通行为影响研究  

Traffic Behavior Analysis of Non-motorized Vehicle under Influence of Curb Parking

作　　者：郭宏伟[1] 高自友[1] 赵小梅[1] 杨小宝[1] 

机构地区：[1]北京交通大学交通运输学院,北京100044

出　　处：《交通运输系统工程与信息》2011年第1期79-84,共6页Journal of Transportation Systems Engineering and Information Technology

基　　金：国家重点基础研究发展计划(2006CB705500);国家自然科学基金项目(70631001;70701004)

摘　　要：针对路内停车影响下的非机动车越线占用机动车道的行为,采用寿命分析法对越线行为和非机动车流量数据进行建模.提出有效流量概念描述越线行为发生概率同非机动车流量间的关系,并以此衡量路内停车对非机动车交通行为的影响.根据越线行为发生情况将流量数据定义为删失数据与完全数据,并分别采用非参数法和参数法进行模型估计.结果显示,路内停车对非机动车越线行为具有显著影响,会降低非机动车道的有效流量,增大越线行为的发生概率,有效流量分布同非机动车道宽度具有正相关性.研究结果有助于评价路内停车对非机动车的影响,并为路内停车规划提供依据.To analyze the lane-crossing behavior of non-motorized vehicles under the influence of curb parking,the lifetime data analysis method is adopted to examine the observed data for non-motorized vehicles.The concept named valid volume is introduced to describe the relation between the probability of lane-crossing behavior and non-motorized vehicle volume,evaluate the influence of curb parking,then a nonparametric method and a parametric method are used to estimate the model with censored data.The results indicate the curb parking has a significant influence on the traffic behavior of non-motorized vehicles.It can decrease the valid volume and increase the likelihood of lane-crossing behavior.The results are expected to help evaluate the influence of curb parking on non-motorized vehicles and improve the planning and management of curb parking.

关 键 词：城市交通 路内停车 寿命分析 非机动车 影响评价 

分 类 号：U491[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]