结合神经网络和数据融合技术的城市路段速度估计  

Urban link speed estimation combined with neural network and data fusion

作　　者：曾伟良[1] 聂佩林[2] 何兆成[1] 佘锡伟[1] 

机构地区：[1]中山大学智能交通研究中心广东省智能交通系统重点实验室,广州510275 [2]中山大学地理科学与规划学院,广州510275

出　　处：《计算机应用研究》2011年第12期4459-4462,共4页Application Research of Computers

基　　金：广东省科技计划资助项目(2009A011601013);广东省交通信息公众服务平台项目(GDIID2008IS006)

摘　　要：大部分基于浮动车GPS数据的速度估计模型仅适用于GPS数据采样时间间隔小、样本量空间分布密集的理想情况,无法准确计算样本量不足情况下的实时速度。根据浮动车GPS数据点在空间上的分布情况,提出组合三种速度估计模型,以最大限度地提高GPS数据利用率;考虑到GPS数据点在时间上分布不均,在GPS数据不足的情况下,结合神经网络预测和数据融合的技术,根据误差方差融合速度估计模型的测量值和神经网络拟合的预测值,以减少实时估计误差。选择广州市东风路作为测试实例,在高峰和平峰两种交通场景下比较了融合值、测量值和预测值的误差,结果表明结合神经网络和数据融合技术的城市路段速度估计精度和稳定性均优于速度估计模型。Most link speed estimation models based GPS data are only suitable for ideal condition in which the sampling interval is close and the sample amount is sufficient, but they are unable to estimate the real time link speed if GPS data are not enough. According to the space distribution of GPS data, combined three models, which could maximize the utilization of GPS data and the road network coverage of speed estimating results. It taken uneven distribution of GPS data into account and adopted back propagation neural network （BPNN） to repair the link speed when insufficient amount of GPS data occurred. According tothe error variance of measured value and predicted value, designed a self-adaptive filter to merge the historical data and the neighboring links＇ data. It selected an arterial road in Guangzhou city as a case study to test the proposed method. The performance test illustrates that the proposed method provides better results than normal speed estimation method.

关 键 词：智能交通系统 浮动车 速度估计 神经网络 数据融合 

分 类 号：TP391.9[自动化与计算机技术—计算机应用技术]