集装箱港区集疏港货运交通随机时变特性仿真研究  

Simulation Research on Freightage Changing Randomly with Time in Container Harbor

作　　者：郭子坚 方泽兴 王文渊 周勇 

机构地区：[1]大连理工大学建设工程学部,辽宁大连116024

出　　处：《港工技术》2017年第5期11-15,共5页Port Engineering Technology

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目--沿海大型枢纽港陆路集疏运多通道空间尺度随机动态规划研究(51309049)

摘　　要：为了在预测集装箱港区货运交通量和规划港口集疏运系统时,能够更加合理地分析集疏港货运交通随机时变特性,利用计算机仿真技术,以集装箱港区水、陆作业流程为基础,综合考虑影响集疏港货运交通的主要因素,模拟港口运营作业情况,建立集装箱港区集疏港货运仿真模型。采用高峰小时交通量和高峰小时系数对集装箱港区货运随机时变特性进行分析,通过大量仿真实验,得出不同港区规模条件下,集装箱港区货运交通的随机时变特性,为集疏港货运交通规划提供参考。In order to properly analyze the freight volume that changes randomly with time in the process of predicting the traffic demand for container terminal and planning the port transportation system,a model is built to simulate the operation of container harbor by using computer simulating techniques and fully taking main factors affecting port transportation into account on the basis of waterborne and landside operation of container harbor.Peak-hour traffic volume and peak-hour factor are used to study the random time-varying property of container freightage.Plenty of simulation experiments lead to the characteristic of freight changing randomly with time under different scales of container terminal.The research results will provide a reference for the planning of container freightage.

关 键 词：集疏运 高峰小时交通量 高峰小时系数 港口仿真 港口 

分 类 号：U169.62[交通运输工程]