2015-2030年云南省基础教育阶段教育资源需求预测  

Forecast of education resource demand in basic education stage of Yunnan province from 2015 to 2030

作　　者：李爱杰[1] 程浩然[1] 孙志刚[1] LI Ai-jie;CHENG Hao-ran;SUN Zhi-gang(School of Business,Yuxi Normal University,Yuxi Yunnan 653100,China)

机构地区：[1]玉溪师范学院商学院,云南玉溪653100

出　　处：《科技视界》2018年第25期64-66,共3页Science & Technology Vision

基　　金：云南省哲学社会科学教育科学规划项目+云南省学龄人口变动对教育资源配置的影响研究(AD17002)

摘　　要：学龄人口变动会对教育资源配置产生巨大影响,合理预测学龄人口规模能够为科学配置教育资源提供依据。本文运用人口预测软件CPPS,从学龄人口预测的视角,推算云南省未来基础教育阶段的资源需求量,为教育资源的优化配置提供了科学而具有可操作性的路径。The change of school -age population will have huge impact education resource allocation. Reasonable prediction of school-age population size can provide a basis for scientific allocation of education resource. In this paper, population prediction software CPPS was used to calculate the resource demand of basic education stage in Yunnan province from the perspective of the prediction of school - age population, providing a scientific and operational path for the optimized allocation of education resources.

关 键 词：云南省 基础教育阶段 学龄人口 教育资源预测 

分 类 号：G639.2[文化科学—教育学]