基于GM(1,1)模型的高职软件和信息技术服务人才需求预测  

Forecast of Talents Demand for Higher Vocational Colleges Software and Information Technology Service Based on GM(1,1)Model

作　　者：颜艳[1,2,3,4] YAN Yan(Collaborative Innovation Center for Business Intelligence Application,Ministry of Education;Jiangsu Province Business Intelligence Technology Application Engineering Technology Research and Development Center;Jiangsu Province Wireless Sensor System Application Engineering Technology Research and Development Center;Wuxi Vocational Institute of Commerce,Wuxi 214153,China)

机构地区：[1]教育部商业智能应用协同创新中心 [2]江苏省商业智能技术应用工程技术研究开发中心 [3]江苏省无线传感系统应用工程技术研究开发中心 [4]无锡商业职业技术学院,江苏无锡214153

出　　处：《常州信息职业技术学院学报》2021年第4期17-21,共5页Journal of Changzhou College of Information Technology

基　　金：2020年度江苏高校哲学社会科学研究基金项目“智能制造背景下高职软件与信息服务行业人才培养匹配性分析及对策研究”(2020SJA0931)。

摘　　要：以2011-2020年我国软件和信息技术服务业高职从业人数和占比数据作为人才需求的预测依据,运用灰色模型GM(1,1)进行人才需求预测。根据拟合数据证实本模型的有效性,并将其用于“十四五”期间软件和信息技术服务人才预测,为高职院校制订软件和信息技术服务专业教育规划和科学决策提供依据。Based on the data of the number of employees in the software and information technology service industry in higher vocational education and the proportion of higher vocational education from 2011 to 2020 as the basis for forecasting talent demand,the gray model GM(1,1)is used to predict the talent demand.The effectiveness of this model is verified based on the fitted data,and it will be used in the prediction of technical and skilled talents in the software and information technology service industry during the"14th Five-Year Plan"period to provide a reference for the formulation and scientific decision-making of software and information technology service education in higher vocational colleges.

关 键 词：高职院校 软件和信息技术服务 人才需求预测 GM(1 1)模型 

分 类 号：TP311.5-4[自动化与计算机技术—计算机软件与理论]