江西省2016—2020年毒蕈中毒的空间自相关分析  

Spatial autocorrelation analysis of toadstool poisoning in Jiangxi Province from 2016 to 2020

作　　者：梁新民 陈丽敏 游兴勇[2] 周厚德[2] 张强[2] 刘洋[2] 刘成伟[2] LIANG Xinmin;CHEN Limin;YOU Xingyong;ZHOU Houde;ZHANG Qiang;LIU Yang;LIU Chengwei(School of Public Health&Jiangxi Provincial Key Laboratory of Preventive Medicine,Nanchang University,Jiangxi Nanchang 330000,China;Jiangxi Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention&Jiangxi Province Key Laboratory of Diagnosing and Tracing of Foodborne Disease,Jiangxi Nanchang 330006,China)

机构地区：[1]南昌大学公共卫生学院,江西省预防医学重点实验室,江西南昌330000 [2]江西省疾病预防控制中心,江西省食源性疾病诊断溯源重点实验室,江西南昌330006

出　　处：《中国食品卫生杂志》2022年第6期1306-1310,共5页Chinese Journal of Food Hygiene

基　　金：江西省卫计委科研项目(202211286)。

摘　　要：目的 对江西省2016—2020年毒蕈中毒进行空间自相关分析,探究其空间分布特征。方法 收集江西省2016—2020年毒蕈中毒监测数据并对其进行整理和描述性分析;利用ArcGIS 10.2软件制作江西省县域矢量地图和累计病例分布图;同时运用geoda 1.12软件将病例数据与地理属性数据合并,进行全局空间自相关分析和局部空间自相关分析。结果 全省累计报告毒蕈中毒病例938例,年均发病率为0.402 2/10万;全局自相关分析发现,江西省2016—2020年毒蕈中毒病例数存在空间聚集性(Moran’s I=0.107 0,P=0.032<0.05)。局部空间自相关分析结果显示,鄱阳县、峡江县、余干县为高-高区域;德安县、靖安县、上栗县、龙南市为低-低区域;新建区、樟树市、彭泽县、湖口县为低-高区域;南康区、东湖区为高-低区域。结论 2016—2020年江西省毒蕈中毒病例数具有空间聚集性,局部地区为重点区域,相关部门应加强建立有针对性的防控措施并精准开展科普宣传教育。Objective The spatial autocorrelation analysis of toadstool poisoning in Jiangxi Province from 2016 to 2020was carried out to explore the spatial distribution characteristics of the disease.Methods The surveillance data of toadstool poisoning in Jiangxi Province from 2016 to 2020 were collected and analyzed descriptively.ArcGIS 10.2 software was used to make vector maps of Jiangxi Province,geoda 1.12 software was used to merge case data with geographic attribute data and performed global spatial autocorrelation analysis and local spatial autocorrelation analysis.Results A total of 938cases of toadstool poisoning were reported in Jiangxi Province,with an average annual incidence rate of 0.402 2/100 000.The difference was statistically significant in the global autocorrelation analysis from 2016 to 2020.It showed spatial clustering(Moran’s I=0.107 0,P=0.032<0.05).Local spatial autocorrelation analysis results showed that Poyang county,Xiajiang county and Yugan county were high-high areas.De’an county,Jing’an county,Shangli county and Longnan city were low-low areas;Xinjian districts,Zhangshu City,Pengze County and Hukou County were low-high areas.Nankang district and Donghu district were high-low areas.Conclusion The number of toadstool poisoning cases in Jiangxi Province from 2016 to 2020 showed that the overall number of cases was spatially clustered.Some areas were key areas.Relevant departments should strengthen targeted prevention and control measures,and accurate science popularization and education was recommended.

关 键 词：毒蕈中毒 空间自相关 莫兰指数 食源性疾病 

分 类 号：R155[医药卫生—营养与食品卫生学]