上海轨道交通对住宅价格影响机制及规划启示  

Impact Mechanism of Shanghai Rail Transit on Residential Prices and Planning Implications

作　　者：郭丽阁 林善浪[1] 张冠增[2] GUO Lige;LIN Shanlang;ZHANG Guanzeng(School of Economics and Management,Tongji University,200092,Shanghai,China;不详)

机构地区：[1]同济大学经济与管理学院,上海200092 [2]同济大学城市规划与建筑学院,上海200092

出　　处：《城市轨道交通研究》2023年第12期166-173,共8页Urban Mass Transit

摘　　要：目的:城市轨道交通的快速发展带动城市空间扩张,地铁不仅成为大城市居民的重要交通工具,而且是大城市居民购房的主要考虑因素,地铁对周边区域住宅价格的溢出效应已成共识。方法:以多源大数据为基础,探索上海轨道交通对住宅价格的影响:通过挖掘整理31.3万套上海二手房相关数据,采用Hedonic(特征价格)模型、GWR(地理加权回归)模型和空间分位数模型多角度地实证检验上海城市轨道交通对住宅价格的影响。结果及结论:上海地铁站点的数量和距离远近对住宅价格呈显著正相关,基于此提出城市地铁建设的规划启示。Objective:The rapid development of urban rail transit drives the expansion of urban space.The metro not only becomes a crucial transportation tool for urban residents but also a major consideration for property purchases in large cities,and the spillover effect of metro on residential prices in surrounding areas is a consensus.Method:Based on multiple sources of big data,the impact of Shanghai urban rail transit on residential prices is explored.By analyzing and organizing data from 313,000 second-hand housing transactions in Shanghai,various empirical methods,including the Hedonic(characteristic pricing)model,GWR(geographic weighted regression)model and spatial quantile model are employed to empirically examine the influence of Shanghai urban rail transit on residential prices from multiple perspectives.Result&Conclusion:The number and proximity of Shanghai Metro stations show a significant positive correlation with residential prices.Based on these finding,planning implications for urban metro construction are proposed.

关 键 词：城市轨道交通 HEDONIC模型 GWR模型 分位数回归 住宅价格 

分 类 号：F299.23[经济管理—国民经济] U212.1[交通运输工程—道路与铁道工程]