考虑船间效应和操纵性能的内河船舶追越风险模型及应用  

Risk modeling and application of vessel overtaking considering ship-ship interaction and maneuverability in inland waterways

作　　者：刘欧 宋国宾 袁小亮 吴兵[1,5,6,7] LIU Ou;SONG Guobin;YUAN Xiaoliang;WU Bing(State key Laboratory of Maritime Technology and Safety,Wuhan University of Technology,Wuhan 430063,China;School of Transportation and Logistics Engineering,Wuhan University of Technology,Wuhan 430063,China;Rizhao Port Pilot Station,Rizhao 276800,China;Quanzhou Maritime Safety Administration of P.R.C,Quanzhou 362014,China;Intelligent Transport Systems Research Center,Wuhan University of Technology,Wuhan 430063,China;National Engineering Research Center for Water Transport Safety,Wuhan University of Technology,Wuhan 430063,China;Guangdong Inland Port and Shipping Industry Research Co.,Ltd.,Shaoguan 512000,China)

机构地区：[1]武汉理工大学水路交通控制全国重点实验室,湖北武汉430063 [2]武汉理工大学交通与物流工程学院,湖北武汉430063 [3]日照引航站,山东日照276800 [4]中华人民共和国泉州海事局,福建泉州362014 [5]武汉理工大学智能交通系统研究中心,湖北武汉430063 [6]武汉理工大学国家水运安全工程技术研究中心,湖北武汉430063 [7]广东省内河港航产业研究有限公司,广东韶关512000

出　　处：《中国航海》2024年第1期1-8,17,共9页Navigation of China

基　　金：国家自然科学基金国际合作与交流项目(51920105014);国家自然科学基金(52272422;52071248);湖北省自然科学基金(2021CFB312)。

摘　　要：针对内河在航船舶追越过程中碰撞事故频发的问题,构建考虑船间效应和操纵性能的内河船舶追越风险模型。对内河在航船舶追越过程进行情景分析,从纵向和横向距离两个方面综合考虑船舶追越风险。引入船舶纵向安全距离模型和紧急转舵距离,提出不同危险局面下的纵向距离计算方法。考虑船间效应和船舶保向性,根据力和力矩方程,提出不同会遇时刻的横向距离计算方法。构建基于模糊逻辑的内河船舶追越风险模型,选取100组长江典型追越案例验证模型的可行性。To address the frequent occurring accidents during overtaking in inland waterways,a ship overtaking risk model that considers ship-ship interaction and maneuverability is established.First,the scenario analysis of the overtaking process of ships is carried out,and the ship overtaking risk is comprehensively considered from the longitudinal and transverse distance.Second,the ship longitudinal safety distance model and the emergency rudder turning distance are introduced to propose the calculation method of the longitudinal distance in diferent dangerous conditions.Third,considering the shipship interaction and the ship directionality,the calculation method of transverse distance at different encounter times is proposed using the force and moment equations.Finally,the ship overtaking risk model based on fuzzy logic is established.100 typical overtaking cases of the Yangtze River are selected to verify the feasibility of the model.

关 键 词：水路运输 船舶碰撞 船舶操纵性能 船间效应 追越风险 

分 类 号：U698[交通运输工程—港口、海岸及近海工程]