高等教育数字化转型宏观趋势、关键技术与发展场景——《2024年EDUCAUSE地平线报告(教与学版)》解读  

Macro Trends,Key Technologies,and Development Scenarios for Digital Transformation in Higher Education—Interpretation of 2024 EDUCAUSE Horizon Report:Teaching and Learning Edition

作　　者：赵福君[1] 代洋磊 Fujun ZHAO;Yanglei DAI(Teacher College,Shihezi University,Shihezi 832000,Xinjiang)

机构地区：[1]石河子大学师范学院,新疆石河子832000

出　　处：《中国教育信息化》2024年第12期44-57,共14页Chinese Journal of ICT in Education

基　　金：2024年兵团级本科教育教学改革研究项目“AI赋能高等教育新质生产力的内在机制与实践路径研究——生成式AI在教学中的应用探索”;石河子大学2024年研究生精品课程建设项目“现代教育技术发展与应用”。

摘　　要：《2024年EDUCAUSE地平线报告(教与学版)》阐释了未来高等教育发展的六大宏观趋势:社会、技术、经济、环境、政治及人工智能,并介绍了影响高等教育数字化转型的六项技术与实践:探索人工智能技术的适当应用、提升人工智能的流畅性、支持公平和包容的学习、保护数据隐私和安全、在实践中应对错误信息和支持心理健康,同时预测了未来高等教育将呈现的四种发展场景:增长、崩溃、约束与转型,成为推动各国政府未来高等教育数字化转型的重要参考。与往年相比,2024版报告在高等教育未来发展宏观趋势方面,首次增加了人工智能趋势,强调人工智能在日常生活中的潜力;在关键技术与实践方面,特别关注应对错误信息和心理健康问题;而在未来情境预测部分,尽管维持了过去的四种发展场景划分,但影响各种未来发展场景的主导因素均有明显变化。基于对该报告的分析,提出对我国高等教育数字化转型的几点启示:强化数字基础设施建设,构建数字化教育生态体系;促进技术赋能教育变革,引领教学模式创新;引导树立终身学习意识,推动高校教师专业发展;加强数据安全教育,建立健全教育数据治理体系。The 2024 EDUCAUSE Horizon Report:Teaching and Learning Edition illustrates six macro trends in the future of higher education:social,technological,economic,environmental,political,and AI,and introduces six technologies and practices that will impact the digital transformation of higher education:exploring the appropriate application of AI technologies,improving AI fluency,supporting equitable and inclusive learning,protecting data privacy and security,tackling misinformation in practice,and supporting mental health.Meanwhile,it predicts that there will be four development scenarios of higher education in the future:growth,collapse,constraint and transformation,which has become an important reference for governments to promote the digital transformation of higher education in the future.Compared with previous years,the 2024 edition adds the trend of artificial intelligence for the first time in terms of macro trends for the future development of higher education,emphasizing the potential of artificial intelligence in everyday social life;In terms of key technologies and practices,special attention is paid to addressing misinformation and mental health issues;In the future scenario prediction part,although the four development scenarios are maintained,the dominant factors affecting various future development scenarios have changed significantly.Based on the analysis of the report,this paper puts forward several enlightenments for the digital transformation of higher education in China:strengthen the construction of digital infrastructure and build a digital education ecosystem;guide technology to empower education reform and promote deepening the innovation of teaching mode;guide the establishment of lifelong learning awareness and promote the professional development of college teachers;Strengthen data security education,and establish and improve education data governance systems.

关 键 词：高等教育 地平线报告 人工智能 数字化转型 生成式人工智能 

分 类 号：G434[文化科学—教育学]