国家自然科学基金(40620130113)

作品数:26被引量:343H指数:12
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相关作者:王会军范可孙建奇郎咸梅赵平更多>>
相关机构:中国科学院大气物理研究所中国气象科学研究院中国气象局中国气象局国家气候中心更多>>
相关期刊:《地球物理学报》《Science Bulletin》《Science China Earth Sciences》《科学通报》更多>>
相关主题:PACIFIC南极涛动大气环流TYPHOON频次更多>>
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全球气候变暖背景下索马里急流变化的预估研究被引量:4
《气象学报》2008年第5期756-764,共9页林美静 范可 王会军 
973国家重点基础研究发展计划(2009CB421406);中国科学院优秀论文博士基金;国家自然科学基金(40620130113,40523001)
索马里急流的变化对亚洲季风和气候变动具有重要的影响,未来索马里急流到底会如何演变?如何受全球变暖的影响?针对这个问题,文中利用IPCC第四次评估报告(IPCCAR4)的多个海气耦合模式的模拟结果,评估了多个模式在当前气候(20C3M)条件下...
关键词:IPCC AR4模式 索马里越赤道气流 未来气候 评估和预测 
Can the climate background of western North Pacific typhoon activity be predicted by climate model?被引量:12
《Chinese Science Bulletin》2008年第15期2392-2399,共8页LANG XianMei WANG HuiJun 
by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 40505017, 40631005 and 40620130113);the Innovation Project of the Institute of Atmospheric Physics, CAS (Grant No. IAP07205)
Based on the observation and reanalysis data through 1948―2004, the vertical shear of zonal wind, outgoing longwave radiation, and divergence fields in the lower and upper troposphere during summer are revealed to co...
关键词:西北太平洋台风 频繁度 IAP9L-AGCM 可预测性 
Arabian Peninsula-North Pacific Oscillation and its association with the Asian summer monsoon被引量:8
《Science China Earth Sciences》2008年第7期1001-1012,共12页SUN JianQi1, YUAN Wei2 & GAO YuZhong3 1 Nansen-Zhu International Research Centre, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China 2 China Meteorological Administration Training Centre, Beijing 100081, China 3 Heilongjiang Meteorological Observatory, Harbin 150030, China 
the National Basic Research Program of China (Grant No. 2006CB403600);the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 40631005 and 40620130113)
Using correlation and EOF analyses on sea level pressure from 57-year NCEP-NCAR reanalysis data, the Arabian Peninsula-North Pacific Oscillation (APNPO) is identified. The APNPO reflects the co-variability between the...
关键词:Arabian Peninsula-North PACIFIC Oscillation East ASIAN SUMMER MONSOON South ASIAN SUMMER MONSOON wave train ABRUPT climate change 
The northern annular mode:More zonal symmetric than the southern annular mode被引量:5
《Chinese Science Bulletin》2008年第11期1740-1744,共5页WANG HuiJun SUN JianQi SU JingZhi 
the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 40631005, 40620130113 and 40523001)
Fan (2007) recently documented the zonal asymmetry of the Antarctic oscillation (AAO) in the austral winter. In this research, the zonal asymmetry of the northern annular mode, or the Arctic oscillation (AO), in the i...
关键词:带状对称 南极 北极 海洋气象学 
阿拉伯半岛-北太平洋型遥相关及其与亚洲夏季风的关系被引量:23
《中国科学(D辑)》2008年第6期750-762,共13页孙建奇 袁薇 高玉中 
国家重点基础研究发展计划(编号:2006CB403600);国家自然科学基金(批准号:40631005,40620130113)资助
利用相关分析和经验正交分解方法对过去57aNCEP-NCAR夏季亚洲-北太平洋地区海平面气压场进行了分析,揭示了一种新的遥相关模态,即阿拉伯半岛-北太平洋型遥相关(Arabian Peninsula-North Pacific Oscillation,APNPO).研究表明,APNPO在本...
关键词:阿拉伯半岛-北太平洋型遥相关 东亚夏季风 南亚夏季风 波列 气候突变 
利用气候模式能够预测西北太平洋台风活动的气候背景吗?被引量:11
《科学通报》2008年第14期1702-1708,共7页郎咸梅 王会军 
国家自然科学基金(批准号:40505017,40631005和40620130113);中国科学院大气物理研究所创新基金(批准号:IAP07205)资助项目
首先利用1948~2004年观测和再分析资料分析了西北太平洋(WNP)台风频次与夏季平均纬向风垂直风切变、外逸长波辐射以及对流层高、低空散度场之间的相关关系,表明台风发生频次与三者在台风发生源区都存在密切关系,因而对西北太平洋台风...
关键词:西北太平洋台风频次 IAPOL—AGCM 集合回报 可预测性 
Prediction model for spring dust weather frequency in North China被引量:10
《Science China Earth Sciences》2008年第5期709-720,共12页LANG XianMei Center for Disastrous Climate Research and Prediction, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China 
the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 40631005, 40620130113 and 40505017)
It is of great social and scientific importance and also very difficult to make reliable prediction for dust weather frequency (DWF) in North China. In this paper, the correlation between spring DWF in Beijing and Tia...
关键词:SPRING dust WEATHER FREQUENCY PREDICTION model iap9l-agcm HINDCAST experiment real-time PREDICTION 
中国华北春季沙尘天气频次的气候预测模型被引量:3
《中国科学(D辑)》2008年第4期508-518,共11页郎咸梅 
国家自然科学基金(批准号:40631005,40620130113和40505017)资助
对中国北方沙尘天气发生频次进行气候预测具有重大社会价值和科学意义,也是十分困难的一项课题.以北京站和天津站的情况为代表,首先分析了中国华北春季沙尘天气频次(DWF)的季节平均表面温度、降水、北极涛动、南极涛动、南方涛动...
关键词:春季沙尘天气频次 预测模型 IAP9L—AGCM 回报试验 实时预测 
Relationship between the Asian-Pacific oscillation and the tropical cyclone frequency in the western North Pacific被引量:41
《Science China Earth Sciences》2008年第3期380-385,共6页ZHOU BoTao1, CUI Xuan2 & ZHAO Ping3 1 Laboratory for Climate Studies, National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, China 2 National Meteorological Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, China 3 Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, China 
the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 40631005, 40625014 and 40620130113)
The relationship between the Asian-Pacific oscillation (APO) and the tropical cyclone frequency over the western North Pacific (WNP) in summer is preliminarily investigated through an analysis of ob- served data. The ...
关键词:Asian-Pacific OSCILLATION western North PACIFIC tropical CYCLONE atmospheric circulation 
A physically-based statistical forecast model for the middle-lower reaches of the Yangtze River Valley summer rainfall被引量:63
《Chinese Science Bulletin》2008年第4期602-609,共8页FAN Ke WANG HuiJun CHOI Young-Jean 
Supported the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 40631005,40620130113 and 40523001); the "Korea Enhanced Observing Program ofMeiyu Project"
A new approach to forecast the middle-lower reaches of the Yangtze River Valley summer rainfall in June―August(JJA) is proposed in this paper.The year-to-year increment of the middle-lower reaches of the Yangtze Rive...
关键词:长江流域 夏季 降雨量 天气预报 统计预报模型 
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