supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 10973020 and 11273031)
It is widely believed that the evolution of solar active regions leads to solar flares. However, information about the evolution of solar active regions is not employed in most existing solar flare forecasting models....
supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos.10973020,40890161 and 10921303);the National Basic Research Program of China (Grant No.2011CB811406);the China Meteorological Administration (Grant No.GYHY201106011)
The growth rate of solar activity in the early phase of a solar cycle has been known to be well correlated with the subsequent amplitude (solar maximum). It provides very useful information for a new solar cycle as ...
supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.10973020,40890161 and 10921303);the National Basic Research Program of China(973 Program;Grant No.2011CB811406)
The concept of degree of similarity (η), is proposed to quantitatively describe the similarity of a parameter (e.g. the maximum amplitude Rmax) of a solar cycle relative to a referenced one, and the prediction me...
supported by the Chinese Academy of Sciences (Grant No.KGCX3-SYW-403-10);the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos.10973020,10673017 and 40890161)
A higher correlation tends to yield a more accurate prediction,so that a correlation as high as possible has been searched for and employed in the prediction of solar activity.Instead of using geomagnetic activity dur...
Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.10973020 and 40890161);supported by the Chinese Academy of Sciences through grant KJCX2-YWT04
The maximum amplitude (Rm) of a solar cycle, in the term of mean sunspot numbers, is well-known to be positively correlated with the preceding minimum (Rmin). So far as the long term trend is concerned, a low leve...