云南高校图书馆联盟文献共享服务平台- 国家重点基础研究发展计划(2012CB955202)

国家重点基础研究发展计划(2012CB955202): 作品数：16被引量：48H指数：5; 导出分析报告; 相关作者：董璐周天军封凡段晚锁更多>>; 相关机构：中国科学院大气物理研究所中国科学院研究生院中国科学院大学更多>>; 相关期刊：《Science China Earth Sciences》《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》《Science Bulletin》《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》更多>>; 相关主题：FORCINGPREDICTABILITYENSOCANESALINITY更多>>; 相关领域：天文地球金属学及工艺理学生物学更多>>

A Timescale Decomposed Threshold Regression Downscaling Approach to Forecasting South China Early Summer Rainfall被引量：2: 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》2016年第9期1071-1084,共14页Linye SONG Wansuo DUAN Yun LI Jiangyu MAO; sponsored by the National Basic Research Program of China (Grant No. 2012CB955202);the China Scholarship Council under the Joint-PhD program for conducting research at CSIRO;supported by the Indian Ocean Climate Initiative; A timescale decomposed threshold regression （TSDTR） downscaling approach to forecasting South China early summer rainfall （SCESR） is described by using long-term observed station rainfall data and NOAA ERSST data....; 关键词：timescale decomposed threshold regression South China early summer rainfall forecasting skill

Comparison of Constant and Time-variant Optimal Forcing Approaches in El Nio Simulations by Using the Zebiak–Cane Model: 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》2016年第6期685-694,共10页Ben TIAN Wansuo DUAN; sponsored by the National Basic Research Program of China(Grant No.2012CB955202);the National Public Benefit(Meteorology)Research Foundation of China(Grant No.GYHY201306018);the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.41176013 and41230420); Model errors offset by constant and time-variant optimal forcing vector approaches （termed COF and OFV, respectively） are analyzed within the framework of E1 Nifio simulations. Applying the COF and OFV approaches to...; 关键词：ENSO simulation model error optimal forcing vector

A possible bias of simulating the post-2000 changing ENSO被引量：1: 《Science Bulletin》2015年第21期1850-1857,共8页Fei Zheng Wen Zhang Jinyi Yu Quanliang Chen; supported by the National Program for Support of Top-notch Young Professionals;the National Basic Research Program of China(2012CB955202);the Chinese Academy Sciences’Project‘‘Western Pacific Ocean System:Structure,Dynamics and Consequences’’(XDA10010405);the National Natural Science Foundation of China(41576019); Since the late 1990s, a climate shift has occurred over the tropical Pacific that is characterized with a La Nifia-like mean state. Coincident with this climate shift, climate models＇ skills in predicting the El Nifi...; 关键词：ENSO Wind-SST coupling - Biascorrection Climate shift

Interannual Relationship between the Winter Aleutian Low and Rainfall in the Following Summer in South China被引量：1: 《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》2015年第5期271-276,共6页SONG Lin-Ye DUAN Wan-Suo; sponsored by the National Basic Research Program of China (Grant No. 2012CB955202); Using observations and reanalysis data, this study investigates the interannual relationship between the winter Aleutian Low(AL) and the rainfall anomalies in the following summer in South China(SC). Results show that...; 关键词：Aleutian Low SOUTH China RAINFALL atmospheric circ

An Incursion of Off-Equatorial Subsurface Cold Water and Its Role in Triggering the “Double Dip” La Nia Event of 2011被引量：6: 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》2015年第6期731-742,共12页ZHENG Fei FENG Lisha ZHU Jiang; supported by the National Program for Support of Top-notch Young Professionals;the National Basic Research Program of China (Grant No.2012CB955202);the Chinese Academy Sciences’ Project "Western Pacific Ocean System: Structure, Dynamics and Consequences" (WPOS; Grant No.XDA10010405);the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No.41176014); Based on Global Ocean Data Assimilation System （GODAS） and NCEP reanalysis data, atmospheric and oceanic pro- cesses possibly responsible for the onset of the 2011/12 La Nifia event, which followed the 2010/11 La Ni...; 关键词：＂double dip＂ La Nifia subsurface cold water incursion off-equatorial process

Sensitivity of the Terrestrial Ecosystem to Precipitation and Temperature Variability over China: 《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》2014年第5期382-387,共6页SUN Guo-Dong; Funding was provided by grants from the National Basic Research Program of China (Grant No. 2012CB955202);the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 41375111);the LASG Free Exploration Fund;the LASG State Key Laboratory Special Fund; In this study, the sensitivities of net primary production(NPP), soil carbon, and vegetation carbon to precipitation and temperature variability over China are discussed using the state-of-the-art Lund-Potsdam-Jena dy...; 关键词：climate variability net primary production（NPP） soil carbon vegetation carbon sensitivity

Time-Dependent Nonlinear Forcing Singular Vector-Type Tendency Error of the Zebiak-Cane Model被引量：1: 《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》2014年第5期395-399,共5页ZHAO Peng DUAN Wan-Suo; sponsored by the National Basic Research Program of China (Grant No. 2012CB955202);the National Public Benefit (Meteorology) Research Foundation of China (Grant No. GYHY201306018);the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 41176013 and 41230420); Based on the Zebiak-Cane model, the timedependent nonlinear forcing singular vector （NFSV）-type tendency errors with components of 4 and 12 （denoted by NFSV-4 and NFSV-12） are calculated for predetermined El Nifio...; 关键词：PREDICTABILITY model error optimal perturbation

The Spatial Patterns of Initial Errors Related to the “Winter Predictability Barrier” of the Indian Ocean Dipole被引量：5: 《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》2014年第5期406-410,共5页FENG Rong DUAN Wan-Suo; sponsored by the National Basic Research Program of China (Grant No. 2012CB955202);the National Public Benefit (Meteorology) Research Foundation of China (Grant No. GYHY201306018); In this study, using the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory Climate Model version 2pl （GFDL CM2pl） coupled model, the winter predictability barrier （WPB） is found to exist in the model not only in the growing p...; 关键词：Indian Ocean dipole winter predictabilitybarrier initial errors sensitive areas

The Combined Effect of Initial Error and Model Error on ENSO Prediction Uncertainty Generated by the Zebiak-Cane Model: 《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》2014年第5期447-452,共6页ZHAO Peng DUAN Wan-Suo; sponsored by the National Basic Research Program of China (Grant No. 2012CB955202);the National Public Benefit (Meteorology) Research Foundation of China (Grant No. GYHY201306018);the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 41176013 and 41230420); Initial errors and model errors are the source of prediction errors. In this study, the authors compute the conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation （CNOP）-type initial errors and nonlinear forcing singular vector...; 关键词：PREDICTABILITY initial error model error optimal perturbation

20世纪太平洋海温变化中人为因子与自然因子贡献的模拟研究被引量：5: 《海洋学报》2014年第3期48-60,共13页董璐周天军; 海洋公益性行业科研专项(201105019-3);全球变化国家重大科学研究计划项目(2010CB951904);国家重点基础研究发展计划项目(2012CB955202); 基于中国科学院大气物理研究所大气科学和地球流体力学国家重点实验室(LASG/IAP)发展的气候系统模式FGOALS_gl对20世纪太平洋海温变化的模拟,讨论了自然因子和人为因子对20世纪太平洋海温变化的相对贡献。观测资料表明,20世纪太平洋平均...; 关键词：气候系统模式 20世纪太平洋海温变化自然因子人为因子内部变率

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