Tropical cyclone(TC)genesis prediction is a major scientific challenge to the TC operation and research community.This report surveys the current status of TC genesis forecasts by a number of major operational centers...
supported by funding from NOAA/Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research under NOAAUniversity of Oklahoma Cooperative Agreement#NA21OAR4320204;U.S.Department of Commerce,and NSF AGS#2028151;Daniel Chavas is supported by NSF AGS#1945113.Kelvin T.F.Chan was jointly supported by the National Science Foundation,United States,National Key R&D Program of China(2019YFC1510400);the National Natural Science Foundation of China(41975052);the Guangdong Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation(2023A1515010741);the Innovation Group Project of the Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory(Zhuhai;311021001);the Guangdong Province Key Laboratory for Climate Change and Natural Disaster Studies(2020B1212060025).
This review article summarizes the current understanding and recent updates to tropical cyclone outer size and structure forecasting and research primarily since 2018 as part of the World Meteorological Organization's...
This review summarizes the rapporteur report on tropical cyclone(TC)intensity change from the operational perspective,as presented to the 10th International Workshop on TCs(IWTC-10)held in Bali,Indonesia,from Dec.5–9...
This paper summarizes the progress and activities of tropical cyclone(TC)operational forecast centers during the last four years(2018–2021).It is part II of the review on TC intensity change from the operational pers...
This review summarizes experiences at operational centers to forecast tropical cyclone(TC) intensity change as presented to the International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones(IWTC-9) in Hawaii in 2018. Some operational f...
In order to understand the current and potential use of ensemble forecasts in operational tropical cyclone(TC)forecasting,a questionnaire on the use of dynamic ensembles was conducted at operational TC forecast center...
support from Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project (HFIP);Next Generation Global Prediction System (NGGPS) programs for R2O;O2R efforts leading to successful operational upgrades of Tropical Cyclone forecast systems at NWS/ NCEP
Regional Hurricane modeling systems developed and implemented into operations at National Centers for Environmental Prediction(NCEP)of National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration(NOAA)National Weather Service(NWS)...
supported by WMO-TLFDP,National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.41275067,No.41405060,No.41305067);ESCAP/WMO Typhoon Committee AOP 2013;Science and Technology Development Project of SMB MS201403
Tropical cyclones(TCs)forecasts from seven global models in 2013 were assessed to study the current capability of track and intensity forecast guidance over the western North Pacific.Analysis of along-and cross-track ...
This study presents the real-time performance of the United States(US) National Centers for Environmental Prediction(NCEP) operational Hurricane Weather Research and Forecast(HWRF) model in predicting rapid intensific...
The most countries surrounding the Indian Ocean as well as Southeast Asian countries do not have operational experience in handling a combination of tsunami and other coastal hazard early warning systems.The challenge...