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作品数:394被引量:587H指数:11
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Recent advances in operational tropical cyclone genesis forecast被引量:1
《Tropical Cyclone Research and Review》2023年第4期323-340,共18页K.K.Hon Robert Ballard Eric Blake Steph Bond Robb Gile Daniel Halperin Charles Helms Hoang Lam Xinyan Lyu Mrutyunjay Mohapatra Monica Sharma Akira Shimokobe Ralf Toumi Seonghee Won 
Tropical cyclone(TC)genesis prediction is a major scientific challenge to the TC operation and research community.This report surveys the current status of TC genesis forecasts by a number of major operational centers...
关键词:CYCLOGENESIS Tropical cyclone genesis ENSEMBLE Prediction OPERATIONAL Forecasting Probabilistic Verification Survey Global 
Recent progress in research and forecasting of tropical cyclone outer size
《Tropical Cyclone Research and Review》2023年第3期151-164,共14页Benjamin A.Schenkel Chris Noble Daniel Chavas Kelvin T.F.Chan Stephen J.Barlow Amit Singh Kate Musgrave 
supported by funding from NOAA/Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research under NOAAUniversity of Oklahoma Cooperative Agreement#NA21OAR4320204;U.S.Department of Commerce,and NSF AGS#2028151;Daniel Chavas is supported by NSF AGS#1945113.Kelvin T.F.Chan was jointly supported by the National Science Foundation,United States,National Key R&D Program of China(2019YFC1510400);the National Natural Science Foundation of China(41975052);the Guangdong Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation(2023A1515010741);the Innovation Group Project of the Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory(Zhuhai;311021001);the Guangdong Province Key Laboratory for Climate Change and Natural Disaster Studies(2020B1212060025).
This review article summarizes the current understanding and recent updates to tropical cyclone outer size and structure forecasting and research primarily since 2018 as part of the World Meteorological Organization's...
关键词:Tropical cyclones Climate change Operational forecasting Outer size Outer structure 
A review of recent advances(2018–2021)on tropical cyclone intensity change from operational perspectives,part 1:Dynamical model guidance被引量:2
《Tropical Cyclone Research and Review》2023年第1期30-49,共20页Zhan Zhang Weiguo Wang James D.Doyle Jonathan Moskaitis William A.Komaromi Julian Heming Linus Magnusson John P.Cangialosi Levi Cowan Michael Brennan Suhong Ma Ananda Kumar Das Hosomi Takuya Peter Clegg Thomas Birchard John A.Knaff John Kaplan Mrutyunjay Mohapatra Monica Sharma Ikegami Masaaki Liguang Wu Eric Blake 
This review summarizes the rapporteur report on tropical cyclone(TC)intensity change from the operational perspective,as presented to the 10th International Workshop on TCs(IWTC-10)held in Bali,Indonesia,from Dec.5–9...
关键词:Dynamical models Intensity forecast Operational forecasts Tropical cyclone 
A review of recent advances(2018–2021)on tropical cyclone intensity change from operational perspectives,part 2:Forecasts by operational centers被引量:1
《Tropical Cyclone Research and Review》2023年第1期50-63,共14页Weiguo Wang Zhan Zhang John P.Cangialosi Michael Brennan Levi Cowan Peter Clegg Hosomi Takuya Ikegami Masaaki Ananda Kumar Das Mrutyunjay Mohapatra Monica Sharma John A.Knaff John Kaplan Thomas Birchard James D.Doyle Julian Heming Jonathan Moskaitis Suhong Ma Charles Sampson Liguang Wu Eric Blake 
This paper summarizes the progress and activities of tropical cyclone(TC)operational forecast centers during the last four years(2018–2021).It is part II of the review on TC intensity change from the operational pers...
关键词:Forecast error Intensity forecast Operational forecasts Tropical cyclone 
OPERATIONAL PERSPECTIVES ON TROPICAL CYCLONE INTENSITY CHANGE PART 2:FORECASTS BY OPERATIONAL AGENCIES被引量:1
《Tropical Cyclone Research and Review》2019年第4期226-239,共14页Joseph B.Courtney Sébastien Langlade Stephen Barlow Thomas Birchard John A.Knaff S.D.Kotal Tarik Kriat Woojeong Lee Richard Pasch Charles R.Sampson Udai Shimada Amit Singh 
This review summarizes experiences at operational centers to forecast tropical cyclone(TC) intensity change as presented to the International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones(IWTC-9) in Hawaii in 2018. Some operational f...
关键词:TROPICAL CYCLONE intensity CHANGE rapid INTENSIFICATION 
CURRENT AND POTENTIAL USE OF ENSEMBLE FORECASTS IN OPERATIONAL TC FORECASTING:RESULTS FROM A GLOBAL FORECASTER SURVEY被引量:5
《Tropical Cyclone Research and Review》2019年第3期166-180,共15页H.A.Titley M.Yamaguchi L.Magnusson 
In order to understand the current and potential use of ensemble forecasts in operational tropical cyclone(TC)forecasting,a questionnaire on the use of dynamic ensembles was conducted at operational TC forecast center...
关键词:TROPICAL CYCLONES OPERATIONAL FORECASTER SURVEY ENSEMBLE forecasts probabilistic forecasts uncertainty 
ADVANCING THE STATE OF THE ART IN OPERATIONAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECASTING AT NCEP被引量:2
《Tropical Cyclone Research and Review》2018年第1期51-56,共6页AVICHAL MEHRA VIJAY TALLAPRAGADA ZHAN ZHANG BIN LIU LIN ZHU Weiguo Wang Hyun-Sook Kim 
support from Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project (HFIP);Next Generation Global Prediction System (NGGPS) programs for R2O;O2R efforts leading to successful operational upgrades of Tropical Cyclone forecast systems at NWS/ NCEP
Regional Hurricane modeling systems developed and implemented into operations at National Centers for Environmental Prediction(NCEP)of National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration(NOAA)National Weather Service(NWS)...
关键词:OPERATIONAL MODELS forecasting TROPICAL CYCLONES 
EVALUATION OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECASTS FROM OPERATIONAL GLOBAL MODELS OVER THE WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC IN 2013被引量:2
《Tropical Cyclone Research and Review》2015年第1期18-26,共9页GUOMIN CHEN HUI YU QING CAO Shanghai Typhoon Institute,China Meteorological Administration Shanghai Marine Meteorological Center 
supported by WMO-TLFDP,National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.41275067,No.41405060,No.41305067);ESCAP/WMO Typhoon Committee AOP 2013;Science and Technology Development Project of SMB MS201403
Tropical cyclones(TCs)forecasts from seven global models in 2013 were assessed to study the current capability of track and intensity forecast guidance over the western North Pacific.Analysis of along-and cross-track ...
关键词:tropical cyclone global model forecast verification 
REAL-TIME FORECASTS OF TYPHOON RAPID INTENSIFICATION IN THE NORTH WESTERN PACIFIC BASIN WITH THE NCEP OPERATIONAL HWRF MODEL被引量:2
《Tropical Cyclone Research and Review》2014年第2期63-77,共15页VIJAY TALLAPRAGADA CHANH KIEU 
This study presents the real-time performance of the United States(US) National Centers for Environmental Prediction(NCEP) operational Hurricane Weather Research and Forecast(HWRF) model in predicting rapid intensific...
关键词:rapid intensifi CATION typhoons/tropical CYCLONES OPERATIONAL forecasting 
BRIEF INTRODUCTION TO SYNERGIZED STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES FOR COASTAL MULTI-HAZARDS EARLY WARNING SYSTEM被引量:6
《Tropical Cyclone Research and Review》2012年第4期489-494,共6页OLAVO RASQUINHO DEREK LEONG JINPING LIU 
The most countries surrounding the Indian Ocean as well as Southeast Asian countries do not have operational experience in handling a combination of tsunami and other coastal hazard early warning systems.The challenge...
关键词:BRIEF INTRODUCTION OPERATIONAL EXPERIENCE COASTAL hazards 
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