《Infectious Disease Modelling》

作品数：496被引量：426H指数：10
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《Infectious Disease Modelling》
主办单位：中国科技出版传媒股份有限公司
最新期次：2024年4期更多>>
发文主题：EPIDEMICVACCINATIONSARS-COVPANDEMICTRANSMISSION更多>>
发文领域：医药卫生理学自动化与计算机技术文化科学更多>>
发文基金：国家自然科学基金国家重点基础研究发展计划World Health OrganizationThe Royal Society更多>>
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On optimal control at the onset of a new viral outbreak
《Infectious Disease Modelling》2024年第4期995-1006,共12页Alexandra Smirnova Xiaojing Ye 
Supported by NSF award 2011622(DMS Computational Mathematics);Supported by NSF award 2152960(DMS CDS&E)and 2307466(DMS Applied Mathematics).
We propose a versatile model with a flexible choice of control for an early-pandemic outbreak prevention when vaccine/drug is not yet available.At that stage,control is often limited to non-medical interventions like ...
关键词：EPIDEMIOLOGY Compartmental model Transmission dynamic Optimal control 
Modeling measles transmission in adults and children:Implications to vaccination for eradication
《Infectious Disease Modelling》2024年第4期1007-1026,共20页Anjana Pokharel Khagendra Adhikari Ramesh Gautam Kedar Nath Uprety Naveen K.Vaidya 
supported by the GRAID(Graduate Research Assistantships in Developing Countries)awards from the International Mathematical Union(IMU);the University Grants Commission(UGC),Sanothimi Bhaktapur,Nepal,for the Small Research and Development and Innovation Grants-077/078(SRDIG)award;the Nepal Academy of Science and Technology(NAST)for Ph.D.Fellowship;the University Grants Commission(UGC)Nepal for Ph.D.Fellowship 2021;supported by NSF grants DMS-1951793 and DEB-2030479 from the National Science Foundation of USA;UGP award from San Diego State University.
Despite the availability of successful vaccines,measles outbreaks have occurred frequently in recent years,presumably due to the lack of proper vaccination implementation.Moreover,measles cases in adult groups,albeit ...
关键词：Measles eradication Measles reservoir Adult-child vaccination Adults and children groups Nepal 
Optimal vaccination strategies on networks and in metropolitan areas
《Infectious Disease Modelling》2024年第4期1198-1222,共25页M.Soledad Aronna Lucas Machado Moschen 
the financial support from the School of Applied Mathematics(FGV EMAp),and Fundacao Carlos Chagas Filho de Amparo a Pesquisa do Estado do Rio de Janeiro(FAPERJ)for the funding through process E-26/203.223/2017;the financial support of CNPq(Brazil)through process 310452/2019-8.
This study presents a mathematical model for optimal vaccination strategies in interconnected metropolitan areas,considering commuting patterns.It is a compartmental model with a vaccination rate for each city,acting ...
关键词：Optimal control EPIDEMIOLOGY Vaccination protocols Commuting patterns Metropolitan areas 2000 MSC 92D30 49-11 
Corrigendum to“Counterfactual analysis of the 2023 Omicron XBB wave in China”[Infect.Dis.Model.9(2024)195-203]
《Infectious Disease Modelling》2024年第4期1223-1223,共1页Hengcong Liu Xiangyanyu Xu Xiaowei Deng Zexin Hu Ruijia Sun Junyi Zou Jiayi Dong Qianhui Wu Xinhua Chen Lan Yi Jun Cai Juanjuan Zhang Marco Ajelli Hongjie Yu 
The revised funding detail is given below.“The study was supported by grants from the Key Program of the National Natural Science Foundation of China(82130093),the National Key Research and Development Program of Chi...
关键词：necessarily revised GRANT 
A Bayesian model calibration framework for stochastic compartmental models with both time-varying and timeinvariant parameters
《Infectious Disease Modelling》2024年第4期1224-1249,共26页Brandon Robinson Philippe Bisaillon Jodi D.Edwards Tetyana Kendzerska Mohammad Khalil Dominique Poirel Abhijit Sarkar 
the funding from the New Frontiers in Research Fund(NFRF)2022 Special Call e Research for Postpandemic Recovery(Grant no:NFRFR-2022-00395).
We consider state and parameter estimation for compartmental models having both timevarying and time-invariant parameters.In this manuscript,we first detail a general Bayesian computational framework as a continuation...
关键词：Time-varying parameter estimation Bayesian inference Stochastic compartmental models 
Effect of vaccinations and school restrictions on the spread of COVID-19 in different age groups in Germany
《Infectious Disease Modelling》2024年第4期1250-1264,共15页Christiane Dings Dominik Selzer Nicola Luigi Bragazzi Eva Mohler Markus Wenning Thomas Gehrke Ulf Richter Alexandra Nonnenmacher Folke Brinkmann Tobias Rothoeft Michael Zemlin Thomas Lücke Thorsten Lehr 
funded by the European Union Horizon 2021 EUVABECO(grant 101132545).
With the emergence of SARS-CoV-2,various non-pharmaceutical interventions were adopted to control virus transmission,including school closures.Subsequently,the introduction of vaccines mitigated not only disease sever...
关键词：COVID-19 VACCINATION Non-pharmaceutical interventions Age Mathematical modeling 
A deterministic model for homologous antibody dependant enhancement on influenza infection
《Infectious Disease Modelling》2024年第4期1265-1275,共11页Shilian Xu Jiaru Yang 
Antibody dependant enhancement refers that viral infectivity was unexpectedly enhanced at low antibody concentration compared to when antibodies were absent,such as Dengue,Zika and influenza virus.To mathematically de...
关键词：Antibody dependent enhancement Logistical function Switching function Influenza virus 
Trends and multi-model prediction of hepatitis B incidence in Xiamen被引量：1
《Infectious Disease Modelling》2024年第4期1276-1288,共13页Ruixin Zhang Hongfei Mi Tingjuan He Shuhao Ren Renyan Zhang Liansheng Xu Mingzhai Wang Chenghao Su 
funded by Xiamen Medical and Health Key Project[grant numbers 3502Z20191105].
Background:This study aims to analyze the trend of Hepatitis B incidence in Xiamen City from 2004 to 2022,and to select the best-performing model for predicting the number of Hepatitis B cases from 2023 to 2027.Method...
关键词：Hepatitis B Temporal trends PREDICTION Joinpoint regression model Age-period-cohort model Neural network autoregressive model 
Epidemiological impact of revoking mask-wearing recommendation on COVID-19 transmission in Tokyo,Japan
《Infectious Disease Modelling》2024年第4期1289-1300,共12页Mayu Nagata Yuta Okada Hiroshi Nishiura 
funding from the SECOM Science and Technology Foundation;funding from Health and Labour Sciences Research Grants(grant numbers 20CA 2024,21HB1002,21HA 2016,and 23HA 2005);the Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development(grant numbers JP23fk0108612 and JP23fk0108685);JSPS KAKENHI(grant numbers21H03198 and 22K19670);the Environment Research and Technology Development Fund(grant number JPMEERF20S11804)of the Environmental Restoration and Conservation Agency of Japan,Kao Health Science Research,the Daikin GAP Fund of Kyoto University,the Japan Science and Technology Agency SICORP program(grant numbers JPMJSC20U3 and JPMJSC2105),and the RISTEX program for Science,Technology,and Innovation Policy(grant number JPMJRS22B4).
Despite the global implementation of COVID-19 mitigation measures,the disease continues to maintain transmission.Although mask wearing became one of the key measures for preventing the transmission of COVID-19 early i...
关键词：COVID-19 Mask wearing recommendation Health policy COUNTERFACTUAL Mathematical model 
A novel comparison framework for epidemiological strategies applied to age-based restrictions versus horizontal lockdowns
《Infectious Disease Modelling》2024年第4期1301-1328,共28页Vasiliki Bitsouni Nikolaos Gialelis Vasilis Tsilidis 
financed by the Research Council of the University of Patras.
During an epidemic,such as the COVID-19 pandemic,policy-makers are faced with the decision of implementing effective,yet socioeconomically costly intervention strategies,such as school and workplace closure,physical d...
关键词：Epidemiological strategy Comparison scheme Basic reproductive number Horizontal restrictions Aged-based interventions Asymptomatic infectious 
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