supported by the National Basic Research (973) Program of China (Grant No. 2013CB430106);the R&D Special Fund for Public Welfare Industry (Meteorology) (Grant Nos. GYHY201306002 and GYHY201206005);the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 40830958 and 41175087);the Jiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center for Climate Change;the High Performance Computing Center of Nanjing University
Ensemble forecasting has become the prevailing method in current operational weather forecasting. Although ensemble mean forecast skill has been studied for many ensemble prediction systems(EPSs) and different cases...