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国家自然科学基金(40821092): 作品数：46被引量：399H指数：11; 导出分析报告; 相关作者：薛峰李建平周天军刘长征李博更多>>; 相关机构：中国科学院大气物理研究所中国气象局国家气候中心中国科学院研究生院南京信息工程大学更多>>; 相关期刊：《Science China Earth Sciences》《中国科学：地球科学》《自然科学进展》《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》更多>>; 相关主题：ENSOOVERPREDICTABILITYTYPHOONSCHEMES更多>>; 相关领域：天文地球自动化与计算机技术农业科学理学更多>>

SVM方法在热带气旋风雨及温度预报中的应用被引量：1: 《南京信息工程大学学报（自然科学版）》2015年第5期458-462,共5页汤驰冯文官满员施思吴文娟吴佳妮; 国家自然科学基金(40821092); 热带气旋的强弱和移动路径会直接影响到周围大气中气压、温度、露点等气象要素的变化.为更好地了解热带气旋对海口市的影响,通过收集影响海口市热带气旋关键因子,建立热带气旋风雨影响预报因子库,基于SVM方法对热带气旋在过程降水量、...; 关键词：支持向量机热带气旋预报

Decadal variations in the season advancement of spring water cycle over Eastern China被引量：4: 《Science China Earth Sciences》2012年第8期1358-1370,共13页ZHAO RuiXia ZHANG Hong WU GuoXiong LI WeiPing SHI AiLi; supported by Key Project for Integration and Ap-plicaion of Key Meteorological Technology (Grant No.CMAGJ2012Z08);Public Welfare Scientific Research Project (Meteorology) Foundation (Grant No.GYHY201106010);National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos.40821092,40810059005 and 41105097); Spring is the critical period for atmospheric circulation transition from winter to summer. The spring water cycle is very im- portant to agriculture in planting crop and the initial growth of crop. Note that there wa...; 关键词：water cycle Huaihe River Basin season progressing in early spring decadai variation

Model Projections of Precipitation Minus Evaporation in China被引量：2: 《Acta meteorologica Sinica》2012年第3期376-388,共13页张颖孙建奇; Supported by the National Science and Technology Support Program of China (2007BAC03A01);National Basic Research and Development (973) Program of China (2009CB421407 and 2012CB955401);and National Natural Science Foundation of China (40821092); Changes in precipitation minus evaporation （P-E） are analyzed to investigate the possible impacts of climate change on water resource conditions in China. Simulations of SRES A1B and 20C3M scenarios from the WCRP CM...; 关键词：PRECIPITATION EVAPORATION PROJECTION climate model CMIP3

四个耦合模式ENSO后报试验的“春季预报障碍”被引量：8: 《气象学报》2012年第3期506-519,共14页张雅乐俞永强段晚锁; 国家自然科学基金面上项目(40975065和40821092);中国科学院知识创新工程重要方向项目(KZCX2-YW-QN203); 用CliPAS计划中3个气候模式和中国科学院大气物理研究所耦合模式FGOALS-g短期气候异常回报试验结果,将动力和统计方法相结合,考察了1982—2003年厄尔尼诺/拉尼娜事件发展期和衰减期海表温度春季可预报性障碍现象。结果表明,所考察的耦...; 关键词：ENSO事件回报试验春季可预报性障碍预报误差海-气相互作用

An assessment of summer sensible heat flux on the Tibetan Plateau from eight data sets被引量：25: 《Science China Earth Sciences》2012年第5期779-786,共8页ZHU XiaYing LIU YiMin WU GuoXiong; supported by Major Projects of the Knowledge Innovation Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences (Grant No. KZCX2-YW-Q11-01);the National Basic Research Program of China (Grant No. 2010CB950403);National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 40925015,40810059005 and 40821092); The eight datasets of the summer (June-August) surface sensible heat (SH) flux over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) are compared on the time scales of the climatology,interannual variability and linear trend during 1980-2006...; 关键词：Tibetan Plateau sensible heat flux assessment interannual variation linear trend

Relationships between the Limit of Predictability and Initial Error in the Uncoupled and Coupled Lorenz Models被引量：6: 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》2012年第5期1078-1088,共11页丁瑞强李建平; sprovided jointly by the 973 Program (Grant No.2010CB950400);National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 40805022 and 40821092); In this study, the relationship between the limit of predictability and initial error was investigated using two simple chaotic systems： the Lorenz model, which possesses a single characteristic time scale, and the c...; 关键词：limit of predictability initial error Lorenz model coupled Lorenz model

中国东部初春水分循环季节推进过程的年代际突变被引量：1: 《中国科学：地球科学》2012年第3期434-446,共13页赵瑞霞张宏吴国雄李伟平石爱丽; 气象关键技术集成与应用重点项目(编号:CMAGJ2012Z08);公益性行业(气象)科研专项(编号:GYHY201106010);国家自然科学基金(批准号:40821092;40810059005;41105097)资助; 春季是大气环流由冬季向夏季转型的关键时期,春季水分循环状况对于农业播种和农作物初期生长至关重要.本研究发现,初春季节推进中,中国东部地区的水分收支存在显著的年代际突变现象.利用实测降水资料、ECMWF和NCEP/NCAR再分析资料以及Ma...; 关键词：水分循环淮河区域初春季节推进年代际突变

Predictability of the East Asian Winter Monsoon Interannual Variability as Indicated by the DEMETER CGCMS被引量：15: 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》2012年第3期441-454,共14页李菲王会军; supported by the Major State Basic Research Development Program of China (973 Program,Grant No. 2009CB421406);the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos.41130103 and 40821092);the Special Fund for Public Welfare Industry (Meteorology,Grant No. GYHY200906018);the Norwegian Research Council "East Asia DecCen"Project; The interannual variability of East Asian winter monsoon （EAWM） circulation from the Development of a European Multi-Model Ensemble （MME） System for Seasonal to Inter-Annual Prediction （DEMETER） hindcasts was ev...; 关键词：East Asian winter monsoon interannual variability DEMETER HINDCAST

Application of the Conditional Nonlinear Optimal Perturbation Method to the Predictability Study of the Kuroshio Large Meander被引量：25: 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》2012年第1期118-134,共17页WANG Qiang MU Mu Henk A.DIJKSTRA; provided by the Knowledge Innovation Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences(Grant No. KZCX2-EW-201);the Basic Research Program of Science and Technology Projects of Qingdao (Grant No.11-1-4-95-jch);the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 40821092); A reduced-gravity barotropic shallow-water model was used to simulate the Kuroshio path variations. The results show that the model was able to capture the essential features of these path variations. We used one simu...; 关键词：conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation Kuroshio large meander PREDICTABILITY model parameters

Features of rainfall and latent heating structure simulated by two convective parameterization schemes被引量：9: 《Science China Earth Sciences》2011年第11期1779-1788,共10页WANG XiaoCong BAO Qing LIU Kun WU GuoXiong LIU YiMin; supported by Special Fund Project of the Ministry of Science and Technology (Grant No. GYHY200806006);Knowledge Innovation Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (Grant No. KZCX2-YW-Q11-01);National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 40925015,40875034 and 40821092); Using the latest version of SAMIL (Spectral Atmosphere Model of IAP LASG) developed by LASG/IAP,we evaluate the model performance by analyzing rainfall,latent heating structure and other basic fields with two differen...; 关键词：Manabe scheme Tiedtke scheme stratiform rainfall convective rainfall latent heating SAMIL

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